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Brexit: What happens next?

Prime Minister Boris Johnson faces another busy day on Brexit.

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Boris Johnson

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is to present MPs with a way out of an enforced holiday by giving them another vote on holding a general election before a final decision to prorogue Parliament is taken.

– What will happen in Westminster today?

Debate will take place in Parliament about petitions both opposing and supporting Mr Johnson’s radical move to suspend Parliament for five weeks ahead of the October 31 Brexit deadline.

The petition calling for the suspension to be blocked has garnered more than 1.7 million signatures.

Analysts still believe it is likely that the PM will push on and prorogue Parliament, possibly as early as today.

– Anything else?

No doubt lots. But among them, Michael Gove will appear before the House of Lords EU Committee to give evidence about the Government’s Brexit negotiations and no-deal preparations.

He will be probed on topics such as how the Government’s preparations for a no-deal Brexit have been accelerated, and what are the biggest risks with a such a departure.

Brexit
Michael Gove is to appear before the House of Lords EU Committee (House of Commons/PA)

– Will there be an election before October 31?

It is looking less and less likely.

The Government has tabled a motion calling for an early poll, which will also be debated on Monday, but with opposition parties agreeing not to support it, it is unlikely to garner the backing of the two-thirds of MPs needed for it to pass.

– So no chance of an early election?

There is still a chance, yes. It could be triggered by Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn calling a no-confidence motion in the Government on Monday and Mr Johnson losing it.

It could also happen if, first, the Brexit deadline is extended and the Government again calls an early poll, and this time two-thirds of MPs do support that idea, given the comfort of a later deadline.

Leo Varadkar visit to Northern Ireland
Boris Johnson is flying out to Dublin to meet Taoiseach Leo Varadkar (Liam McBurney/PA)

– What else is the Prime Minister doing on Monday?

He is flying to Dublin to meet Leo Varadkar. The Irish Prime Minister has said, however, that Mr Johnson should not be expecting major progress on Irish border talks.

– Might Brexit still happen with a deal?

Despite Parliament’s problems grappling with deal proposals in the past, it is still considered possible.

Now that a no-deal Brexit is starting to look less likely to pass through Parliament, analysts suggest framing a deal that gets passed could be the easiest way for Mr Johnson to deliver on his vow of completing Brexit.

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